Sliding
towards the vortex
27 March
2006
In Sydney, these days, it threatens to rain a lot, but never really
does. We get scattered showers that are never enough to break the
drought. But it wasnt this that sent spasms of foreboding seeping
up from my tail it was an ominous feeling that the neocon madmen
were about to plunge the world into chaos with another precipitate
move.
I slouched
across the lane to the Brushtail Café, where I found Gloomy
Janice the journalist hunkered down with the papers and herlaptop.
Whats
news, Gloomy? I asked, after Id fetched a cider from the
bar. She launched straight into it.
Have
you noticed how Bush, Blair, and the right-wing columnists have shifted
their rhetoric over the last few weeks? Not so long ago their whole
Iraq dialogue was about evil Sunni Baathist terrorists. Now its
all about evil Iranian Shiites and theyre saying the Tehran
mullahs are supplying the roadside bombs used to target Coalition
troops.
Of
course, thats sillier than absurd. In fact, the pro-Iranian
Shiite militias in Iraq are currently the Coalitions only allies
apart from the Kurds and the puppet Iraqi army is recruited
mostly from their followers. The people fighting the occupation are
Sunnis and Baathists. Every half-bright person in the world knows
that.
Yeah,
but about 40 per cent of Americans think The X Files was a
documentary and the world was created 6,000 years ago, I replied.
Theyre the people who vote for Bush. Theyre so dumb
theyll buy anything. I remember before the invasion, Bush was
saying Saddam Hussein was cooperating with al-Qaeda, and of course
that turned out to be a lie, but at least the alleged al-Qaeda leader,
Abu Musab al-Zarqawi , was a Sunni like Saddam. Now theyre trying
to tell us that the Shiite Iranians are collaborating with the very
Sunni Wahabist fanatics whove supposedly sworn to wipe them
out. Which reminds me, whatever happened to Abu Musab? We havent
been hearing much about the Tin-leg Terrorist lately.
Ah,
courtesy of The New York Times, theres a new yarn about
the Wicked Wahabist. It seems his legendary al-Qaeda in Mesopotamia
group has sidelined him. They say its joined an alliance of
resistance groups and its sworn off beheadings. Of course theres
no proof of any of this. Its written by a jerk called Dexter
Filkins whos apparently holed up in the Green Zone."
She
scanned a page on her laptop. His stuff is full journalistic
weasel words like experts believe, while it is impossible
to verify, signals which offer clues, growing
indications, and evidence has surfaced. Slippery
formulations like that string together a soup of speculation based
on hints from shadowy officials and independent
terrorism experts. In other words its the unofficial,
official position from the occupation forces.
But
through all this, the al-Qaeda wildmen and the rest of the resistance
are sounding, for the first time, vaguely like organised, half-rational,
semi-civilized folk the US might be able to do business with.
Weird.
Whats behind this change of line?
Well,
think of it as an insurance policy. The resistance hate the Iranian
leadership and every day now, the Bush regime ratchets up the rhetoric
against Iran. Bushs people are constantly threatening a military
solution to Tehrans nuclear ambitions. Many people assume, or
hope, that the US is just posturing, but bluffing is a dangerous game.
If your bluff is called, what do you do then? If Tehran calls Bushs
bluff and he fails to act, US prestige and authority will decline
dramatically and that will embolden the nations and movements resisting
the super-powers tyrannical hold over world affairs.
So
whats going to happen in Iraq if the US does in fact fall upon
Iran in an orgy of aerial destruction?
Well
firstly, the existing Iraqi puppet army and police based as
they are on the most fanatical sectarian Shiite elements are
going to melt away and theyll reappear as pro-Iranian guerrillas.
And
that would mean that the occupation had no puppet government and no
Iraqi allies. Scary.
Scary
is right. So they gotta try and find new allies from amongst the Sunni
and Baathist groups that are now their bitter enemies. Step one, re-humanise
the folk your spin-doctors were previously de-humanising.
Joadja,
whod been listening with half an ear from behind the bar, came
over to join us.
My
heads spinning, she said. You mean the Yanks are
going to try the weirdest and most blatant side-swapping exercise
in the history of politics and warfare?
Yeah,
if they have to. It all depends on whether their dumb president and
his Zionist neocon advisors go completely nuts and order the attack
on Iran theyve been preparing for months.
And
what if they dont?
Itll
mean that Bush tried to stare down the Iranians, but he blinked first.
Disaster time for US imperialism; disaster time for the Republican
Party. Bushs presidency would be finished. Thats why,
I reckon, hell play diplomatic games with Tehran for a few weeks,
and then hell attack. Most probably, were sliding towards
the vortex.
Holy
Mother of Marx! Whatd happen to the Australian troops there?
Things
would get very hairy indeed
and for the Brits, the Italians,
the Japanese and the Poles. Add all these little contingents up and
youd be lucky to get 15,000 fighting troops spread over a number
of small vulnerable bases. Theyd be quickly overrun by the Shiite
militias, no doubt with a little help from the Iranian army. Their
best bet would be to make a dash for the Kuwait border under cover
of US air power.
And
see also:
The
Askariya Mosque job and the coming war on Iran
By
GAVIN GATENBY
1 March 2006
So who
really did have a motive for the very professional demolition job
on Samarras Golden Dome Mosque?
Many analysts have pointed to the general advantages that flow to
the imperialist occupation from fostering sectarian divisions
the traditional divide-and-rule strategy but I think we can
be a lot more specific. I believe we can reliably point to the United
States as the real culprit and see a clear motive in the geo-strategic
nightmare created by Washingtons determination to wage war on
Iran. READ
THE FULL ARTICLE >>>